May 14 Transformer (Commit to Your Fit) - Round 5 Results and Projections

This game had 84 winners in Round 5, in a pot that 306 people contributed to. That's a 27.45% win rate (slightly higher than average). Winners got $34.16 each. People who have won each round have now made $160.85 (about $5 more than average).  The game lost about 4.38% of players this round, for a natural attrition total of 16.85%.  Both attrition numbers are higher than average and come later in the game, which means more $$ abandoned to the final pot that the winners will share. 

Now for the fun projections. 105 people qualified for the final round.  That's 28.53% of the people that started the game and 34.31% of the people who were playing in Round 5.  Both numbers are notably lower than average, echoing the attrition above.

If all 105 people make 10% by the end of Round 6, a winning share should be about $152. In the games that have already ended, about 83% of the people actually make it, which would bring the winning share to about $183 and possibly the highest 6th round pot we've seen (depending on how the May 6 game goes).  Good luck, everyone.

(Note: I write posts about the stats for all the games that are running, not just the ones I'm playing in, but my posts only appear in the feeds for my games.  If you are in other games, feel free to post my blog there so people can see how they are doing.  I'm currently in the June 3, Aug 12, and Oct 7 games.  If you add me as a friend, you will get a notification about all the stats posts I make.  You can also join the Transformers Data Nerds group: https://www.dietbetter.com/community/groups/7-transformers-data-nerds and our Facebook group: https://www.facebook.com/groups/DietBet.March/ ).

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Oriana

10/18/2014 5:35AM
I admire your dedication and mental capacity. Reading your blogs encourages me to hang in and make my goals and it is good to know someone is watching the over all numbers and making sense of them. Thank you.

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Games played

9

Weight lost

-29.3%

Winnings

$1830.64

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